Here are the outcomes of Deutsche Bank’s one of a kind 2022 international market survey carried out from December 6-9 2021. It is well worth noting that respondents consider that Bitcoin is greater in all likelihood to halve than double subsequent year.
What will the S&P five hundred return in 2022?
“S&P five hundred expectations had been moderate, an common return of +4.2% in 2022 would be the third-worst of the closing decade, the place the average return has been +14.6% a yr if you encompass YTD numbers for 2021. 19% notion a poor return.”
When will the Fed quit taper?
“More than 80% of respondents assume the Fed’s taper to cease in H1 ’22. A non-trivial quantity of you (6%) suppose we’re set to have QE thru the complete of the year.”
How many bps will the Fed hike in 2022?
“With the taper doubtlessly out of the way, a stable majority expects two Fed fee hikes subsequent year. This is a bit shy of market pricing, which has round 2.7 hikes.”
When will the subsequent US recession occur?
“A majority (64%) assume the subsequent US recession via 2024. Only 4% suppose we are going to have one subsequent yr though we had a excessive variety of do not knows.”
In 2022, Bitcoin is extra probably to:
“62% of respondents assume Bitcoin is greater probably to halve than double. Unsurprisingly, the odds positioned on Bitcoin halving will increase in line with respondent’s age. 56% of beneath 35s suppose its greater probable to double, solely 26% of over 55s share that opinion.”
