Risk Management

Grim economic situation in the UK offsets sensible fiscal policy – Commerzbank

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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt did no longer purpose a crumple of Sterling with his statement, however solely broken it. Bleak financial outlook dampens the possibilities of the GBP, economists at Commerzbank report.

Economically talking matters are no longer looking precise for the UK
“Economically talking matters are no longer searching accurate for the UK. Hunt estimates that the economic system is already in recession now and is consequently greater pessimistic than the median of analysts. Hunt even expects a contraction of 1.4% in UK GDP (median of analysts: -0.5%). The island does now not want a gasoline disaster to reap that.”

“The reality that Sterling was once in a position to stand up nicely additionally towards the euro (good GBPUSD overall performance is no longer that challenging thanks to the fall down of the Dollar) may have been due to the truth that many concept a return to good fiscal coverage may supply an extra raise for the UK currency. That did no longer manifest though.”

“The market is smart adequate to reflect onconsideration on smart fiscal coverage to be a fundamental circumstance for Sterling steadiness and to additionally think about the financial scenario (and the outcomes of the BoE’s financial policy) for its GBP valuation.”

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